Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stenlund wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 48.1% vs Johansen 51.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 68.2%
Defensive zone
Johansen 54.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 62.6%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Stenlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Stenlund
Johansen
Last 6: Stenlund 4-2 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Stenlund
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
3
0
Stenlund
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (208)
51.5% (615)
-4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
54.3% (140)
-4.3%
On even strength, Johansen has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stenlund is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (53).
Stenlund shoots right. Johansen is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johansen
Home
43.9% (114)
52.4% (389)
Away
51.0% (104)
50.8% (433)
By Period
Stenlund
Johansen
P1
47.1%
53.4%
P2
53.2%
49.1%
P3
37.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
47.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| May 5, 2021 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 07:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |