Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Stenlund wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 51.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 78.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 52.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Stenlund
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stenlund
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (592)
51.9% (597)
+2.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
57.9% (133)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (229)
54.3% (81)
-10.2%
On power play, Johansen has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Stenlund is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Stenlund shoots right. Johansen is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Johansen
Home
50.7% (402)
55.8% (387)
Away
52.0% (433)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Stenlund
Johansen
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
52.4%
56.2%
P3
45.2%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 05:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |