Kirby Dach vs Leo Carlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Leo Carlsson holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dach 45.1% vs Carlsson 45.0% (-3.5%)
Offensive zone Carlsson 51.3%
Defensive zone Carlsson 54.6%
Neutral zone Carlsson 53.6%
Result Leo Carlsson favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Dach Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dach
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (108)
45.5% (661)
-5.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.3% (82)
+10.8%
On power play, Dach has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Dach shoots right. Carlsson is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Dach
Carlsson
Home
43.1% (72)
42.5% (428)
Away
37.2% (43)
46.4% (399)
By Period
Dach
Carlsson
P1
37.8%
45.4%
P2
41.7%
39.7%
P3
44.1%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
39.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%
42.0%
40.9%
Carlsson
38.0%
39.5%
44.4%