Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Scheifele 48.1% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 68.0%
Defensive zone
Dach 69.3%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.0%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Dach
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Dach
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Dach
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
47.8% (960)
-9.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
47.0% (219)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
60.7% (28)
-20.7%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Dach is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Dach shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Dach
Scheifele
Home
38.8% (147)
50.7% (611)
Away
37.5% (80)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Dach
Scheifele
P1
36.3%
51.4%
P2
40.0%
47.3%
P3
40.0%
45.0%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
27.6%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 14:50 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 08:47 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |