Scouting Report
Matty Beniers holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Beniers 46.7% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 53.0%
Defensive zone
Dach 52.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 54.6%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Dach
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dach
Beniers
Last 9: Dach 4-5 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
4
3
Dach
Beniers
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
2
Dach
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
46.6% (3,796)
-10.1%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
47.8% (360)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
41.4% (111)
-5.4%
On power play, Beniers has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Beniers is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,447).
Home / Away
Dach
Beniers
Home
37.0% (857)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
35.8% (689)
44.2% (2,072)
By Period
Dach
Beniers
P1
35.3%
47.4%
P2
34.5%
47.1%
P3
40.4%
45.7%
OT
0.0%
34.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Beniers
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 04:25 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Neutral | Matty Beniers |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |