Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 39.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Backlund 50.8% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 62.1%
Defensive zone
Dach 54.2%
Neutral zone
Dach 52.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Dach
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dach
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Dach
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
51.9% (1,083)
-13.4%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
51.7% (120)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.3% (183)
-4.3%
On power play, Backlund has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Dach shoots right. Backlund is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Dach
Backlund
Home
38.8% (147)
51.9% (673)
Away
37.5% (80)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Dach
Backlund
P1
36.3%
51.4%
P2
40.0%
50.5%
P3
40.0%
51.4%
OT
0.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
27.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |