Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Rantanen 50.8% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dach 80.5%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 70.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Dach
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dach
Rantanen
Last 9: Dach 5-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Dach
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Rantanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
4
1
Dach
Rantanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
51.0% (1,522)
-14.5%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
50.8% (484)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
14.3% (7)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Rantanen is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Dach
Rantanen
Home
37.0% (857)
53.0% (1,067)
Away
35.8% (689)
48.3% (946)
By Period
Dach
Rantanen
P1
35.3%
49.0%
P2
34.5%
51.3%
P3
40.4%
51.8%
OT
0.0%
57.8%
Final 5 min
39.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |