Scouting Report
Mikko Rantanen holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Rantanen 47.1% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 87.0%
Defensive zone
Rantanen 54.8%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 66.9%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Dach
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dach
Rantanen
Last 9: Dach 5-4 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
2
Dach
Rantanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Rantanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
4
1
Dach
Rantanen
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
46.3% (309)
-13.8%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
51.3% (39)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
16.7% (6)
+20.8%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Rantanen is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Dach
Rantanen
Home
33.5% (278)
51.8% (197)
Away
32.2% (267)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Dach
Rantanen
P1
35.3%
47.2%
P2
30.6%
44.8%
P3
33.7%
46.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.6%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:05 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |