Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Backstrom 46.9% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.1%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 50.3%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Dach
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dach
Backstrom
Last 6: Dach 3-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
3
Dach
Backstrom
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
47.0% (541)
-14.5%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
47.4% (95)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
15.4% (13)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Dach has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
Dach
Backstrom
Home
33.5% (278)
48.5% (328)
Away
32.2% (267)
44.2% (321)
By Period
Dach
Backstrom
P1
35.3%
44.8%
P2
30.6%
42.9%
P3
33.7%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
38.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
32.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 15:16 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |