Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings). Dach wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Dach 81.6%
Defensive zone
Dach 89.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 88.8%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Dach
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Dach
Johansen
Last 10: Dach 4-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Dach
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
5
7
Dach
Johansen
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
6
Dach
Johansen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
53.1% (11,017)
-16.6%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
56.2% (2,163)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
50.5% (978)
-14.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dach is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Dach shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Dach
Johansen
Home
37.0% (857)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
35.8% (689)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Dach
Johansen
P1
35.3%
53.2%
P2
34.5%
53.9%
P3
40.4%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
39.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 19:20 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 09:25 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |