Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 36.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Johansen 52.4% (-19.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 65.1%
Defensive zone
Dach 73.7%
Neutral zone
Dach 78.3%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Dach
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Dach
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Dach
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
49.4% (1,010)
-16.9%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
62.3% (236)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
67.2% (67)
-29.7%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Dach is 36.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Dach shoots right. Johansen is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Dach
Johansen
Home
33.5% (278)
54.7% (655)
Away
32.2% (267)
50.6% (658)
By Period
Dach
Johansen
P1
35.3%
52.2%
P2
30.6%
50.7%
P3
33.7%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
32.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |