Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 36.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 41.9% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 88.0%
Defensive zone
Dach 65.1%
Neutral zone
Dach 76.6%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Dach
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Dach
Lafferty
Last 5: Dach 1-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Dach
Lafferty
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Dach
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (213)
52.2% (366)
-13.7%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
60.0% (15)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.2% (104)
-6.2%
On power play, Lafferty has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Dach is 36.5% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Dach shoots right. Lafferty is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Home / Away
Dach
Lafferty
Home
38.8% (147)
53.1% (258)
Away
37.5% (80)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Dach
Lafferty
P1
36.3%
52.5%
P2
40.0%
49.7%
P3
40.0%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
27.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |