Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 45.1% vs Steel 50.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 60.3%
Defensive zone
Dach 51.7%
Neutral zone
Dach 56.1%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Dach
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dach
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Dach
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (108)
52.5% (200)
-12.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
71.4% (7)
-14.3%
On power play, Steel has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dach is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Dach shoots right. Steel is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Dach
Steel
Home
43.1% (72)
49.5% (109)
Away
37.2% (43)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Dach
Steel
P1
37.8%
49.5%
P2
41.7%
47.5%
P3
44.1%
56.6%
Final 5 min
48.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |