Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Steel 50.2% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 67.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 72.4%
Neutral zone
Steel 74.7%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Dach
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Dach
Steel
Last 7: Dach 4-3 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
3
2
Dach
Steel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
50.6% (2,876)
-14.1%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
62.6% (179)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
37.4% (254)
-1.4%
On power play, Steel has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Steel is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,237).
Home / Away
Dach
Steel
Home
37.0% (857)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
35.8% (689)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Dach
Steel
P1
35.3%
51.9%
P2
34.5%
49.5%
P3
40.4%
49.6%
OT
0.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |