Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dach wins 33.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 38.8% vs Steel 50.2% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 82.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 74.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 75.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 75.1%
24.9%
75.1%
Dach
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dach
Steel
Last 6: Dach 4-2 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
3
1
Dach
Steel
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
34.8% (210)
49.7% (638)
-14.9%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
60.3% (63)
-50.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.4% (33)
+7.6%
On power play, Steel has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Dach is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Dach shoots right. Steel is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Dach
Steel
Home
35.5% (121)
47.3% (349)
Away
31.7% (101)
53.0% (385)
By Period
Dach
Steel
P1
36.0%
51.2%
P2
29.6%
49.8%
P3
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
36.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
33.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 3 | 10:03 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2 | 01:25 | Defensive | Sam Steel |