Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 35.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.4% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-13.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 81.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 54.7%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Dach
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Dach
Kuraly
Last 8: Dach 4-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.7% (1,417)
51.5% (5,067)
-14.8%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
56.0% (100)
-20.3%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
44.0% (1,063)
-8.0%
On power play, Kuraly has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Dach is 35.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,106).
Dach shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Home / Away
Dach
Kuraly
Home
37.1% (854)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
36.0% (686)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Dach
Kuraly
P1
35.6%
50.8%
P2
34.6%
50.0%
P3
40.4%
49.9%
OT
0.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
40.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
36.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 04:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 5, 2020 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |