Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 31.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 35.5% vs Aho 52.2% (-19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 87.4%
Defensive zone
Aho 64.8%
Neutral zone
Aho 70.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Dach
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dach
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dach
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
32.5% (510)
51.6% (819)
-19.1%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
58.4% (173)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
46.3% (67)
-8.8%
On power play, Aho has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Dach shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Dach
Aho
Home
33.5% (278)
53.9% (568)
Away
32.2% (267)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Dach
Aho
P1
35.3%
55.4%
P2
30.6%
51.2%
P3
33.7%
50.9%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
38.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |