Scouting Report
Seth Jarvis holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Jarvis 42.6% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 51.0%
Defensive zone
Jarvis 50.3%
Neutral zone
Dach 52.3%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Dach
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
42.0% (352)
-5.5%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
43.7% (119)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
38.2% (157)
-2.2%
On power play, Jarvis has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Dach is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Dach shoots right. Jarvis is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Dach
Jarvis
Home
37.0% (857)
43.8% (336)
Away
35.8% (689)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Dach
Jarvis
P1
35.3%
39.7%
P2
34.5%
39.5%
P3
40.4%
46.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
39.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%