Scouting Report
Shane Wright holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dach wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Wright 43.3% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 70.7%
Defensive zone
Wright 58.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 57.8%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Dach
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dach
Wright
Last 9: Dach 5-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Dach
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
3
1
Dach
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Dach
Wright
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
42.6% (1,318)
-6.1%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
45.8% (131)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
33.3% (6)
+2.7%
On power play, Wright has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Dach is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (435).
Dach shoots right. Wright is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (383).
Home / Away
Dach
Wright
Home
37.0% (857)
44.2% (746)
Away
35.8% (689)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Dach
Wright
P1
35.3%
44.4%
P2
34.5%
40.7%
P3
40.4%
44.0%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Shane Wright |