Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 57.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.8%
Neutral zone
Dach 57.2%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Dach
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Dach
Karlsson
Last 9: Dach 4-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
Dach
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
Dach
Karlsson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
2
0
Dach
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
51.8% (7,849)
-15.3%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
54.8% (1,048)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
44.2% (1,109)
-8.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Karlsson is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,455).
Home / Away
Dach
Karlsson
Home
37.0% (857)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
35.8% (689)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Dach
Karlsson
P1
35.3%
50.3%
P2
34.5%
51.3%
P3
40.4%
52.4%
OT
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
39.9%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |