Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 43.2% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 93.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 93.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 91.8%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 93.1%
6.9%
93.1%
Dach
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Dach
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
2
0
Dach
Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
1
0
Dach
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (217)
58.6% (597)
-19.0%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
57.9% (57)
-10.3%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Dach is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Dach shoots right. Karlsson is 59.0% vs right-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Dach
Karlsson
Home
37.8% (127)
59.6% (344)
Away
43.2% (111)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Dach
Karlsson
P1
32.9%
53.1%
P2
36.3%
62.1%
P3
52.6%
60.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 05:28 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |