Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 44.3% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 56.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 71.1%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 60.4%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Jones
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Jones
Brodziak
Last 9: Jones 5-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
3
2
Jones
Brodziak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (243)
49.3% (1,064)
-6.5%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
53.3% (105)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (41)
47.5% (242)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Jones is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Jones shoots right. Brodziak is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Jones
Brodziak
Home
48.3% (149)
47.8% (711)
Away
36.6% (153)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Jones
Brodziak
P1
42.6%
46.0%
P2
48.3%
52.6%
P3
38.3%
50.1%
OT
28.6%
40.5%
Final 5 min
40.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
42.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 7, 2012 | 1 | 08:02 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |