Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Richards wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 51.7% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Richards leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 83.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 57.1%
Neutral zone
Richards 65.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Richards
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Richards
Brodziak
Last 10: Richards 8-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Richards
5
2
Richards
Brodziak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
1
0
Richards
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
2
0
Richards
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (1,084)
49.3% (1,064)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.2% (180)
53.3% (105)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (37)
47.5% (242)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Richards has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Richards is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (450).
Richards shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Richards
Brodziak
Home
52.2% (668)
47.8% (711)
Away
51.4% (648)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Richards
Brodziak
P1
50.1%
46.0%
P2
52.4%
52.6%
P3
52.9%
50.1%
OT
52.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 12:15 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Brad Richards |