Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 82.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 62.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 66.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Backes
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Backes
Brodziak
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Brodziak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Backes
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
7
2
Backes
Brodziak
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
49.1% (601)
+5.3%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
60.4% (53)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
45.9% (109)
-5.5%
On power play, Brodziak has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Backes is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Backes shoots right. Brodziak is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Backes
Brodziak
Home
50.8% (447)
50.5% (374)
Away
53.8% (465)
48.3% (389)
By Period
Backes
Brodziak
P1
51.8%
49.1%
P2
53.2%
51.8%
P3
52.8%
46.6%
OT
33.3%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:53 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 17:34 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:12 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 05:17 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |