Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.5% vs Brodziak 51.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 73.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 56.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 56.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Beagle
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Beagle
Brodziak
Last 10: Beagle 5-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Beagle
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
3
Beagle
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
4
Beagle
Brodziak
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (572)
53.4% (631)
+4.3%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
40.0% (15)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (179)
46.3% (121)
+6.2%
On power play, Brodziak has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Beagle is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Beagle shoots right. Brodziak is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Beagle
Brodziak
Home
58.2% (378)
53.9% (410)
Away
54.2% (380)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Beagle
Brodziak
P1
58.8%
53.2%
P2
51.9%
56.1%
P3
58.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:49 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 02:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:10 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 16, 2018 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |