Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.6% vs Brodziak 51.9% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 91.6%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 57.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 70.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Carter
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Brodziak
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (307)
53.1% (808)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.5% (64)
50.0% (10)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
70.4% (27)
47.0% (149)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Carter is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (116).
Carter shoots right. Brodziak is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (297).
Home / Away
Carter
Brodziak
Home
58.9% (285)
56.6% (477)
Away
47.8% (113)
47.8% (490)
By Period
Carter
Brodziak
P1
54.9%
54.1%
P2
57.5%
55.5%
P3
56.0%
47.0%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:58 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |