Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 52.0%). Look for Carter on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Carter wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 51.2% vs Brodziak 51.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 78.4%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 74.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 62.5%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Carter
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Carter
Brodziak
Last 10: Carter 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
1
Carter
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
1
Carter
Brodziak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
8
4
Carter
Brodziak
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (935)
53.4% (631)
-3.5%
Power Play
61.8% (157)
40.0% (15)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (92)
46.3% (121)
+0.4%
On power play, Carter has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Carter is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (330).
Carter shoots right. Brodziak is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Carter
Brodziak
Home
52.4% (638)
53.9% (410)
Away
50.0% (546)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Carter
Brodziak
P1
49.6%
53.2%
P2
50.9%
56.1%
P3
53.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.3%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 3 | 11:28 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 10:39 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |