Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 60.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.3% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 64.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 65.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 69.3%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 67.8%
32.2%
67.8%
Staal
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Brodziak
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Staal
Brodziak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Staal
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (1,075)
51.4% (461)
+5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (141)
28.6% (7)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
58.1% (179)
40.9% (88)
+17.2%
On power play, Staal has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Staal shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Staal
Brodziak
Home
57.7% (735)
45.8% (277)
Away
57.9% (660)
53.0% (279)
By Period
Staal
Brodziak
P1
61.8%
50.0%
P2
55.7%
48.8%
P3
56.1%
49.7%
Final 5 min
60.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 19:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 28, 2016 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 14, 2016 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |