Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 63.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 58.4% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 93.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 51.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Staal
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Staal
Brodziak
Last 5: Staal 4-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Brodziak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Staal
Brodziak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (888)
49.8% (526)
+9.3%
Power Play
66.9% (121)
57.1% (7)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (156)
47.5% (120)
+5.1%
On power play, Staal has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Staal is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Brodziak is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Staal
Brodziak
Home
61.2% (600)
51.5% (324)
Away
56.9% (566)
47.4% (329)
By Period
Staal
Brodziak
P1
57.5%
50.0%
P2
60.1%
45.9%
P3
59.1%
52.5%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
59.1%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |