Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 33.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 77.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 72.7%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.3%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Hayes
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Brodziak
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
1
Hayes
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayes
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
51.4% (461)
-16.0%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
28.6% (7)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
40.9% (88)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Hayes shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Hayes
Brodziak
Home
36.8% (212)
45.8% (277)
Away
34.9% (169)
53.0% (279)
By Period
Hayes
Brodziak
P1
40.3%
50.0%
P2
31.1%
48.8%
P3
34.2%
49.7%
Final 5 min
29.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 02:44 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |