Kyle Brodziak vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.5%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 88.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 71.3%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Last 10: Brodziak 9-1 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Brodziak
MacKinnon
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
9
1
Brodziak
MacKinnon
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
2
Brodziak
MacKinnon
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
46.1% (11,218)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
53.3% (1,412)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
42.8% (502)
+2.7%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Brodziak shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
Home / Away
Brodziak
MacKinnon
Home
50.4% (4,044)
49.7% (6,444)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
44.0% (6,689)
By Period
Brodziak
MacKinnon
P1
49.2%
47.4%
P2
50.7%
46.6%
P3
49.5%
46.1%
OT
42.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 1 | 13:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 18:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 18:35 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 3 | 04:05 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 11:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2016 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2015 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |