Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Brodziak wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 48.4% vs Gaustad 57.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 72.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 70.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 82.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Brodziak
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Brodziak
Gaustad
Last 10: Brodziak 3-7 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
2
3
Brodziak
Gaustad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
6
Brodziak
Gaustad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Brodziak
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (994)
59.3% (913)
-10.1%
Power Play
70.4% (27)
72.2% (18)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (202)
52.8% (269)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brodziak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (842).
Brodziak shoots right. Gaustad is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Gaustad
Home
49.6% (593)
58.6% (604)
Away
47.0% (630)
57.4% (596)
By Period
Brodziak
Gaustad
P1
48.2%
61.5%
P2
46.3%
55.7%
P3
51.3%
56.6%
OT
23.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 02:08 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 12:48 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |