Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 31-17 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Brodziak 79.7%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 76.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 81.1%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Brodziak
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
31
(48 meetings)
17
31
Brodziak
Gaustad
Last 10: Brodziak 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
11
12
Brodziak
Gaustad
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
12
Brodziak
Gaustad
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
5
7
Brodziak
Gaustad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
58.2% (4,334)
-7.7%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
65.4% (188)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
54.8% (1,290)
-9.3%
On power play, Gaustad has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Gaustad
Home
50.4% (4,044)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Brodziak
Gaustad
P1
49.2%
58.2%
P2
50.7%
56.4%
P3
49.5%
58.3%
OT
42.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 29, 2015 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:04 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |