Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 89.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 56.6%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 62.7%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Brodziak
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brodziak
Gaustad
Last 5: Brodziak 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brodziak
Gaustad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Brodziak
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
1
Brodziak
Gaustad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
57.7% (821)
-8.4%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
56.3% (16)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
52.3% (260)
-1.6%
On power play, Gaustad has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Gaustad
Home
50.0% (310)
58.9% (577)
Away
48.5% (377)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Brodziak
Gaustad
P1
49.5%
53.1%
P2
53.0%
57.9%
P3
44.7%
57.8%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 10, 2015 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |