Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.3% vs Stastny 57.3% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 63.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 80.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 82.3%
17.7%
82.3%
Brodziak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Brodziak
Stastny
Last 9: Brodziak 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Brodziak
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
3
0
Brodziak
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (538)
57.6% (959)
-8.3%
Power Play
22.2% (9)
60.8% (125)
-38.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (140)
58.1% (74)
-7.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Brodziak shoots right. Stastny is 62.0% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Stastny
Home
50.0% (310)
55.9% (590)
Away
48.5% (377)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Brodziak
Stastny
P1
49.5%
59.6%
P2
53.0%
59.0%
P3
44.7%
55.3%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.5%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |