Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 49 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 73-72 in 145 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.8%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 68.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 58.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Brodziak
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
72
-
73
(145 meetings)
72
73
Brodziak
Stastny
Last 10: Brodziak 7-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
15
34
Brodziak
Stastny
49 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
31
17
Brodziak
Stastny
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
26
22
Brodziak
Stastny
48 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
52.9% (1,119)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Stastny
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Brodziak
Stastny
P1
49.2%
56.3%
P2
50.7%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
53.5%
OT
42.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:19 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 30, 2014 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 11:21 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 30, 2013 | OT | 04:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |