Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 37-33 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 81.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 68.3%
Neutral zone
Johansen 61.1%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Brodziak
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
33
(70 meetings)
37
33
Brodziak
Johansen
Last 10: Brodziak 6-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
4
19
Brodziak
Johansen
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
19
2
Brodziak
Johansen
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
14
12
Brodziak
Johansen
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
53.1% (11,017)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
56.2% (2,163)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
50.5% (978)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Brodziak is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,322).
Brodziak shoots right. Johansen is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (4,371).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Johansen
Home
50.4% (4,044)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Brodziak
Johansen
P1
49.2%
53.2%
P2
50.7%
53.9%
P3
49.5%
52.8%
OT
42.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 3 | 09:06 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:40 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 2 | 06:22 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 12:49 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |