Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.7% vs Koivu 51.8% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Brodziak leads 26-19 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 66.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 50.9%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.7%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Brodziak
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
19
(45 meetings)
26
19
Brodziak
Koivu
Last 10: Brodziak 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
9
4
Brodziak
Koivu
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
6
5
Brodziak
Koivu
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
11
10
Brodziak
Koivu
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (6,432)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.8% (326)
59.3% (437)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (1,344)
48.0% (764)
-2.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Brodziak shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Koivu
Home
50.4% (4,044)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
49.0% (4,089)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Brodziak
Koivu
P1
49.2%
51.1%
P2
50.7%
52.6%
P3
49.5%
51.8%
OT
42.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 03:06 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 16:50 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:21 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 10:37 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 1 | 03:39 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |