Scouting Report
Kyle Chipchura holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chipchura on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Smith wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Chipchura shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 45.2% vs Chipchura 48.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 69.6%
Defensive zone
Chipchura 73.2%
Neutral zone
Chipchura 52.1%
Result
Kyle Chipchura favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Smith
Chipchura
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Smith
Chipchura
Last 8: Smith 4-4 Chipchura
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
0
Smith
Chipchura
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Smith
Chipchura
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chipchura
1
2
Smith
Chipchura
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Chipchura
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (332)
47.9% (332)
-3.0%
Power Play
38.9% (54)
28.6% (7)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
47.8% (23)
+2.2%
On power play, Smith has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chipchura shoots left. Smith is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Smith shoots right. Chipchura is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Smith
Chipchura
Home
46.1% (167)
46.5% (159)
Away
42.5% (226)
48.5% (204)
By Period
Smith
Chipchura
P1
42.1%
50.4%
P2
43.4%
47.0%
P3
47.0%
45.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
30.0%▼
44.0%
44.0%
Chipchura
56.0%▲
54.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Kyle Chipchura |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Craig Smith |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 05:43 | Neutral | Craig Smith |