Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 63.9% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 60.1% vs MacLean 44.7% (+20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 75.0%
Defensive zone
Carter 95.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 91.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Carter
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Carter
MacLean
Last 7: Carter 6-1 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carter
MacLean
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
2
0
Carter
MacLean
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
65.6% (262)
42.4% (238)
+23.2%
Power Play
68.3% (63)
75.0% (4)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (99)
20.0% (5)
+30.5%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Carter shoots right. MacLean is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Home / Away
Carter
MacLean
Home
64.3% (207)
41.4% (128)
Away
60.8% (217)
43.7% (119)
By Period
Carter
MacLean
P1
65.3%
49.3%
P2
60.1%
41.6%
P3
63.8%
37.6%
Final 5 min
65.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 05:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |