Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs MacLean 48.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 65.8%
Defensive zone
MacLean 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Hayes
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Hayes
MacLean
Last 9: Hayes 6-3 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
MacLean
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
MacLean
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
2
Hayes
MacLean
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
47.6% (540)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
66.7% (3)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
60.9% (23)
-0.9%
On power play, MacLean has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Hayes
MacLean
Home
50.5% (200)
47.6% (273)
Away
53.4% (253)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Hayes
MacLean
P1
58.8%
45.5%
P2
49.3%
48.8%
P3
48.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |