Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 51.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 70.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 62.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
MacLean
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
MacLean
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
0
MacLean
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
MacLean
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
52.9% (870)
-5.3%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.5% (43)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
46.2% (143)
+14.7%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
MacLean shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
MacLean
Zibanejad
Home
47.6% (273)
55.1% (501)
Away
48.8% (293)
49.2% (555)
By Period
MacLean
Zibanejad
P1
45.5%
57.5%
P2
48.8%
50.7%
P3
50.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 19:52 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |