Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Kadri 46.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 58.0%
Defensive zone
MacLean 70.9%
Neutral zone
MacLean 58.2%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
MacLean
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacLean
Kadri
Last 5: MacLean 3-2 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
1
MacLean
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Kadri
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
45.7% (1,295)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
52.7% (146)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
34.8% (23)
+26.1%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Kadri is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,030).
Home / Away
MacLean
Kadri
Home
47.6% (273)
46.5% (725)
Away
48.8% (293)
46.0% (739)
By Period
MacLean
Kadri
P1
45.5%
47.2%
P2
48.8%
44.9%
P3
50.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |