Scouting Report
Pontus Holmberg holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacLean wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holmberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 44.7% vs Holmberg 47.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 52.4%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 51.9%
Neutral zone
MacLean 54.5%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
MacLean
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacLean
Holmberg
Last 5: MacLean 1-4 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
0
3
MacLean
Holmberg
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacLean
Holmberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (238)
45.7% (175)
-3.3%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
75.0% (8)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
40.0% (20)
-20.0%
On penalty kill, Holmberg has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. MacLean is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (157).
MacLean shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
MacLean
Holmberg
Home
41.4% (128)
50.9% (112)
Away
43.7% (119)
40.7% (91)
By Period
MacLean
Holmberg
P1
49.3%
47.1%
P2
41.6%
45.7%
P3
37.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
42.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:18 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Neutral | Pontus Holmberg |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |