Scouting Report
Kyle MacLean holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. MacLean wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Helenius shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Helenius 47.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 58.3%
Defensive zone
MacLean 61.9%
Neutral zone
MacLean 63.8%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
MacLean
Helenius
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacLean
Helenius
Last 6: MacLean 4-2 Helenius
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
2
0
MacLean
Helenius
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacLean
Helenius
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Helenius
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
46.7% (276)
+0.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
0.0% (1)
+60.9%
On power play, MacLean has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Helenius shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
MacLean shoots left. Helenius is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
MacLean
Helenius
Home
47.6% (273)
43.5% (168)
Away
48.8% (293)
50.9% (110)
By Period
MacLean
Helenius
P1
45.5%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
Final 5 min
59.5%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Helenius
48.0%▬
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Neutral | Samuel Helenius |