Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacLean wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 47.9% vs Crosby 53.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 73.5%
Defensive zone
MacLean 67.0%
Neutral zone
MacLean 51.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
MacLean
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
MacLean
Crosby
Last 10: MacLean 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
MacLean
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
5
1
MacLean
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
2
MacLean
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (849)
52.8% (17,990)
-5.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
57.4% (4,733)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
47.1% (765)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
MacLean shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
MacLean
Crosby
Home
46.9% (426)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
48.4% (461)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
MacLean
Crosby
P1
46.6%
53.6%
P2
49.7%
53.9%
P3
46.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
47.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:17 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:40 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:35 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |