Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacLean on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacLean 48.5% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 86.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 73.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 73.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
MacLean
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacLean
Trocheck
Last 6: MacLean 4-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
MacLean
Trocheck
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
3
1
MacLean
Trocheck
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacLean
1
0
MacLean
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacLean
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (540)
59.6% (1,032)
-12.0%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
62.1% (253)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
60.9% (23)
55.4% (249)
+5.5%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. MacLean is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (198).
MacLean shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
MacLean
Trocheck
Home
47.6% (273)
61.7% (786)
Away
48.8% (293)
56.8% (748)
By Period
MacLean
Trocheck
P1
45.5%
61.7%
P2
48.8%
58.8%
P3
50.0%
57.6%
Final 5 min
59.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacLean
56.0%▬
56.5%
48.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:42 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Kyle MacLean |