Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Okposo 80.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.7%
Neutral zone
Okposo 53.7%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Okposo
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Okposo
Eller
Last 10: Okposo 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
4
3
Okposo
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
4
Okposo
Eller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Okposo
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
51.1% (10,296)
-2.0%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
52.8% (621)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
46.7% (1,751)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Okposo
Eller
Home
50.2% (990)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Okposo
Eller
P1
48.8%
51.2%
P2
49.6%
50.1%
P3
47.3%
50.2%
OT
48.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 9, 2020 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 11:29 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |