Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Okposo wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.3% vs Backlund 50.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 77.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 56.8%
Neutral zone
Okposo 64.5%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Okposo
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Okposo
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Okposo
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Okposo
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (218)
51.0% (1,205)
-0.5%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
59.3% (108)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
19.2% (26)
42.3% (234)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Okposo is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Okposo shoots right. Backlund is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Okposo
Backlund
Home
48.8% (127)
51.2% (782)
Away
46.6% (148)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Okposo
Backlund
P1
41.1%
51.5%
P2
44.2%
49.8%
P3
60.5%
49.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:21 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |