Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Okposo on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.7% vs Paul 52.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Okposo leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Okposo 64.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 83.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 63.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Okposo
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Okposo
Paul
Last 10: Okposo 8-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Okposo
Paul
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
5
3
Okposo
Paul
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,513)
52.5% (3,796)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.1% (391)
56.5% (480)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
46.7% (574)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Okposo is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,523).
Okposo shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Home / Away
Okposo
Paul
Home
50.2% (990)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
47.1% (1,065)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Okposo
Paul
P1
48.8%
53.9%
P2
49.6%
51.0%
P3
47.3%
52.0%
OT
48.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 19:53 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:16 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 08:03 | Defensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Defensive | Nick Paul |